Fresh Fruit & Vegetable Primary Production

Fresh Fruit & Vegetable Primary Production

Photo by UNDP Serbia, Vladimir Zivojinovic

Fresh Fruit & Vegetable Primary Production

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Beverage
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Agriculture
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
ROE: 10% - 15%
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
< USD 50 million
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 1 million - USD 10 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Zero Hunger (SDG 2) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Good health and well-being (SDG 3) Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9) Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)

Business Model Description

Build and operate the integrated fruit production facility with inputs such as land, CAPEX for production machinery, labor, and seeds and fertilizers. The targeted export markets include export to the European Union (EU), Central European Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA), European Free Trade Association (EFTA), and the Russian Federation supported by long-term contracts. Foreign experts should help in the establishment of cooperatives, in terms of the necessary knowledge and experience of organizing into cooperatives small and fragmented producers who lack negotiating power and respect the "3K" principle (quality, quantity, and continuity), which are needed to collect fruits from small producers in distribution centers. Such centers should have equipment for cooling and calibration with advanced technology. Production yields can be increased thought irrigation systems, and greenhouses add to the resistance and secureness of the crops in different weather conditions.

Expected Impact

Support sustainable farming, promote high-value markets, reduce undernourishment, and ensure food security.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Serbia: Šumadija and Western Serbia
  • Serbia: Southern and Eastern Serbia
  • Serbia: Vojvodina Autonomous Province
  • Serbia: Belgrade Region
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Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Food and Beverage

Development need
The share of the Agriculture sector was 6.3% of Serbia's GDP in 2020, but food security for all of the population is not yet been achieved. Observing the progress in SDG 2, Serbia is moderately improving but still has significant challenges, namely in food security (5, 6, 7). Serbia is in 61st place out of 113 countries by the Food Security Index.

Policy priority
Serbian policy documents that are prioritizing the potential of the agricultural sector are the Keynotes of the Prime Minister, the Agriculture and Rural Development Strategy, the National Program of Rural Development, and the Strategy of Smart Specialization of Serbia (1, 8, 9, 30).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Only 15.9% of women run the agricultural company (single unit both technically and economically, operating under a single management); they make decisions about the organization of agricultural production on the agricultural company. Women are rarely permanently employed on the agricultural company, while most often, they are an informally engaged labor force of farming activities (2). Rural areas suffer the consequences of demographic decline. This is the reason for their developmental lag, deprivation, and growing poverty. Rural areas face lower-quality jobs supply, mainly in the agricultural sector (1).

Investment opportunities introduction
The Government's aims are the reduction of lagging in technological development behind competing countries and effective coping of the agricultural sector with the effects of climate change, improvement of the business environment for farmers and entrepreneurs (3), and promoting value-added food through knowledge-based partnerships (1).

Key bottlenecks Introduction
The main disadvantages of the sector are the fragmentation of property, unorganized legislation (primarily ownership relations), absence of information databases, insufficient application of available technologies, insufficient horizontal and vertical integration in the food chain, low efficiency of systems for logistical support to the agricultural sector (1).

Sub Sector

Food and Agriculture

Development need
According to the Global Food Security Index in 2022, Serbia faces challenges in the volatility of agricultural production due to a lack of infrastructure, the prevalence of food security in the adult population, and early-warning measures for climate change (1, 6).

Policy priority
The focus areas of the Agriculture and Rural Development Strategy are the improvement of agricultural infrastructure, development of market chains and logistical support to the sector, and improvement of product quality and safety (1).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Women equally participate in fruit picking but feel burdened by unequal workload. Rural areas suffer from demographic drain, developmental lag, poverty and reliance on agriculture-based economy with limited job opportunities and external income. Natural resources are exploited, depleted and degraded (1, 8).

Investment opportunities Introduction
The aim of the Agriculture and Rural Development Strategy is the growth of areas under plantations, expansion of the irrigated and drained land area, increase in the export value of agricultural and food products per hectare of used agricultural land, and an increase in agrarian areas under organic production (1).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Lack of financial capital and challenging opportunities to invest in improving agricultural equipment, buildings, and mechanization are among the key bottlenecks in food and agriculture (1).

Industry

Agricultural Products

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Fresh Fruit & Vegetable Primary Production

Business Model

Build and operate the integrated fruit production facility with inputs such as land, CAPEX for production machinery, labor, and seeds and fertilizers. The targeted export markets include export to the European Union (EU), Central European Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA), European Free Trade Association (EFTA), and the Russian Federation supported by long-term contracts. Foreign experts should help in the establishment of cooperatives, in terms of the necessary knowledge and experience of organizing into cooperatives small and fragmented producers who lack negotiating power and respect the "3K" principle (quality, quantity, and continuity), which are needed to collect fruits from small producers in distribution centers. Such centers should have equipment for cooling and calibration with advanced technology. Production yields can be increased thought irrigation systems, and greenhouses add to the resistance and secureness of the crops in different weather conditions.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

< USD 50 million

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

5% - 10%

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

Fruit plantations: 5.1%, Vegetables: 1.8% of arable land; potential underutilized (13, 18).

In Serbia, there is a good quality and structure of the soil for growing primarily apples, blueberries, raspberries, plums, and partly also cherries, peppers, carrots and onions. Given that individual plots are insignificant, and that the average investment is 10,000-60,000 USD/ha depending on the culture, the potential market is less than 50 million USD (16, 22).

Serbia has good natural potential in terms of land for primary fresh fruit and vegetable production. Based on interviews with the Association of Manufacturers from Vojvodina AP, the CAGR of revenue of average company in primary fresh fruit and vegetable production in last 5 years is < 10% (16).

Indicative Return

ROI
Describes an expected return from the IOA investment over its lifetime.

ROE: 10% - 15%

By looking at the business financial statements of over 300 companies registered in the Serbian Business Registers Agency producing fresh fruit and vegetable, the team determined the value of ROE of 10-15% (15).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

For fresh fruit and vegetable export, foreign cooperatives are needed to collect fruits from small producers in distribution centers. Such centers should have equipment for cooling and calibration with advanced technology. The payback period of this IOA is in 5-10 years based on consultations (22).

The payback period is 5 to 6 years. Producers who do not have a cold store make a profit of 8,000-12,000 EURO/ha, depending on yield, quality, variety and price. A yield of 55-60 t was calculated here. Some companies achieve an average yield of 75-80 t (13).

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 1 million - USD 10 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Business - Supply Chain Constraints

Fresh fruit is perishable, needs better transportability in Serbia, and requires a well-organized cold chain. There is a potential problem of cooperation between participants in the market chain (3).

Market - High Level of Competition

The competition for fruit production is growing in the region, CIS countries, and other parts of the world. Medium-sized traditional producers are leaving the fruit sector due to the pressure of competition, and they are a factor of stability in most production (3).

Market - Highly Regulated

Fresh fruit and vegetable production faces increasing phytosanitary requirements by the EU and the Russian Federation, which they use as non-customs market protection measures (3).

Impact Case

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Sustainable Development Need

Agriculture constitutes 6.3% of Serbia's GDP, but food security for all households still needs to be achieved. Serbia ranked 61st in the Global Food Security Index 2021 with a total score of 61.4 out of 100 among 113 countries (5, 6).

The Global Food Security Index 2021 demonstrates a performance below the regional average in agricultural research and development, volatility of agricultural production, food security and access policy commitments, the health of rivers, and disaster risk management for Serbia (5).

In the export structure of agricultural products from Serbia in 2018, fruits and vegetables are in first place with 23%. Orchards in Serbia occupy about 183,602 ha, or 4.8% of the total agricultural land, which is small considering the favorable climatic and soil conditions (13).

Gender & Marginalisation

Women are rarely employed full-time in the agricultural companies, while most often, they are an informally engaged labor force doing agricultural work (4).

There are two women’s agricultural cooperatives at the national level, but they cannot boast great business success. Although there are no formal obstacles for rural women to form associations, there are pressures in society that are sometimes so strong that women withdraw and give up (2).

Expected Development Outcome

Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Primary Production increases the quantity and quality of the products, domestic production competitiveness, increase employment opportunities, and export (27).

Gender & Marginalisation

Fresh fruit and vegetable primary production increases employment opportunities for the rural population, lowers the burden on women, maintains rural areas, and prevents population migration to urban areas (27).

Fresh fruit and vegetable primary production benefits women, who are more likely to engage in fruit and plant production. Higher aid intensity is provided to agricultural holdings operating in areas with difficult working conditions in agriculture, to agricultural holders up to 40 years of age and women. Most women-entrepreneurs in rural areas own small or medium-sized farms and they are mostly engaged in food production rather than food processing, which is dominated by large monopolies.

Primary SDGs addressed

Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
2 - Zero Hunger

2.1.2 Prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity in the population, based on the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES)

2.2.1 Prevalence of stunting (height for age <-2 standard deviation from the median of the World Health Organization (WHO) Child Growth Standards) among children under 5 years of age

2.a.1 The agriculture orientation index for government expenditures

Current Value

14.1% (2020) (40).

5.4% (2019) (40).

0.28 (2021) (40).

Target Value

N/A

N/A

N/A

Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production

12.1.1 Number of countries developing, adopting or implementing policy instruments aimed at supporting the shift to sustainable consumption and production

Current Value

1 policy (25).

Target Value

N/A

Secondary SDGs addressed

Good health and well-being (SDG 3)
3 - Good Health and Well-Being
Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9)
9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)
10 - Reduced Inequalities

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Farmers, agricultural workers, and logistic workers benefit from higher working capacities and earnings due to higher yields from fruit and vegetable.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) producers and smallholder farmers benefit from increased export and more effortless fulfilment of export criteria to the EU and the Russian Federation due to foreign expert know-how.

Planet

In total food production, the cleanest possible option for the environment is the production of fresh fruits and vegetables.

Corporates

Irrigation technology suppliers, agricultural retailers, agricultural input companies, agricultural credit institutions, processors, farmer cooperatives benefit from increased demand and export.

Public sector

National Ministries, local self-government units, food safety, and certification bodies prioritize fruit and vegetables and incorporate specific actions to increase intake, production, food safety, and/or equity within the sector into national-level policies.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

Consumers benefit from the Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Primary Production due to higher consumption of nutrient-rich ingredients.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Rural populations and women in the agriculture sector benefit from the easier potential to succeed in securing funds.

Corporates

Distributors, shippers, agricultural logistic companies, and supermarkets indirectly benefit from the increased fresh fruit and vegetable portfolio.

Public sector

NGOs and educational institutions in agriculture benefit from increased engagement, designing, and testing interventions to increase the accessibility and affordability of fruit and vegetables.

Outcome Risks

There is a risk of potential pest damage (e.g., insects, diseases, mammals, birds, weeds). However, pest pressure varies by fruit and vegetable crop (26).

Impact Risks

Adverse weather conditions (hail, drought, frost, or extreme heat and cold) could affect the yields of fruit and vegetable production (26).

An insufficient quantity of water in higher water stress periods (external risk of bad weather) may pose an obstacle to fruit and vegetable production (34).

Potential unproficiency of fruit and vegetable growers may risk poor input timeliness and quality (26).

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

The primary production of fresh fruit and vegetable contributes to food security, supports SMEs' incorporation in supply chains and reduces poverty.

Who

Manufacturers, aggregators (with storage capacity), wholesalers, retailers, exporters, and traders in the value chain of fresh fruit and vegetable production.

Risk

Water is crucial for the fresh produce value chain. Businesses, retailers, and consumers need secure and reliable supply. Weather and grower proficiency can affect harvests negatively.

Impact Thesis

Support sustainable farming, promote high-value markets, reduce undernourishment, and ensure food security.

Enabling Environment

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Policy Environment

The agriculture and rural development strategy 2014-2024 is focused on the increase in the area under newly planted plantations based on the measures of the Administration for Agrarian Payments (perennial plantations – orchards, vineyards, and others) from 4,000 ha in 2013 to 10,000 ha in 2023 (1).

The Spatial Plan of the Republic of Serbia from 2021-2035 calls for raising fruit plantations in the hilly and hilly areas in the south, west, and east of Serbia, as well as in other suitable agro-ecological terrains, along with the construction of storage capacities and distribution centers (28).

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: The funds of USD 5,9 million for the support for the establishment of multi-year production plantations of fruit trees are non-refundable following the Law on Incentives in Agriculture and Rural Development (29).

Fiscal incentives: For raising production, plantations incentives are determined in 50% of the value of the realized eligible investment, less the amount of funds on behalf of value-added tax (36).

Other incentives: Credit support is a type of incentive that enables access to the use of credit development, e.g., fruit growing, viticulture, vegetable growing, and floriculture. The owner of a family farm can get a loan of up to USD 55,000 and a legal entity of up to USD 165,000 (37).

Regulatory Environment

The Law on Incentives in Agriculture and Rural Development, no. 10/13, determines the scope of funds, types, and maximum amounts for specific incentives to provide stable financial sources for encouraging the development of agriculture and rural areas (30).

The law about food safety, no. 41/09 governs all aspects of production, circulation, control, and food consumption (1).

Rulebook on incentives, no. 41/2021, through support for establishing multi-year production plantations of fruit trees and hops, outlines incentives for agro competitiveness via multi-year fruit tree and hops plantations. It details incentive conditions and maximum amounts per user/type (29).

Law on planting material of fruit trees, vines, and hops, no. 30/2010 regulates the conditions and method of production, trade, and import of planting material for fruit trees, vines, and hops (38).

Marketplace Participants

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Private Sector

Companies such as PIK JUŽNI BANAT DOO, TERRA OPTIMA d.o.o, ATOS FRUCTUM DOO, DOO Pan Harvest, FRUEKO DOO, APPLE WORLD DOO, AL DAHRA RUDNAP DOO. Potential foreign investors such as Megatorg LLC, MelodiFruit, JJ GLOBAL TRADER, and PFALZ FRESH GMBH.

Government

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Water Management, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Provincial Secretariat for Agriculture, Water Management and Forestry.

Multilaterals

World Bank (WB), Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO), International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD), European Union (EU).

Non-Profit

United States Agency for International Development (USAID), Eko Voće Arilje, VIŠNJA-VOĆE, VIVA VOĆE.

Target Locations

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country static map
semi-urban

Serbia: Šumadija and Western Serbia

Observed by region, the most significant part of orchards is in the area of Šumadija (55.11%), whereas at the same time, the 2nd most crucial part of the area is under vineyards (24.69%) (1).
semi-urban

Serbia: Southern and Eastern Serbia

The 2nd most significant area by orchards is Southern and Eastern Serbia (30.51%), whereas at the same time, the most substantial part of the area is under vineyards (53.32%) (1).
semi-urban

Serbia: Vojvodina Autonomous Province

Plantation orchards in the Vojvodina Region make up 77.12% of the total area of orchards in this region (9,910 ha). It is mainly about apple production under anti-hail nets (32). AP Vojvodina shows a high degree of policy orientation towards different aspects of agricultural output.
semi-urban

Serbia: Belgrade Region

Belgrade Region can be a choice in agro-industrial food processing and less in primary production. Only 7.03% of the Belgrade region is in orchards. In addition, in some cases (Grocka, Smederevo), the proximity of the Belgrade market was crucial for developing fruit growing (32).

References

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